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Pedigree Makes A Difference in Belmont Probabilities

By: Lynn Smith


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A mount who can manage the mile and a half distance will be the champ in the Belmont probabilities.

Which horses in Saturday's field are the most likely to like the prolonged length? Who're the most likely contenders are in Belmont betting? Let's examine at the pedigrees.

Belmont probabilities prefer Ice Box but does he have the best pedigree for the race? Pulpit, who sired Ice Box, has not had distance specialists for children. The family side can aid Ice Box however as his second dam is Crown of Sheba who is by Alysheba. Tabasco Cat, who won the Belmont, is Ice Box's broodmare sire. It sure does look like Ice Box will manage the length, although the pedigree is not ideal.

The second choice in Belmont probabilities may very well be First Dude and he has a pedigree that screams distance. He has a big stride and his pedigree genuinely is strong. He is by the sire Stephen Got Even who is by A.P. Indy who is by Seattle Slew. On the dam side he has his broodmare sire being Smart Strike who is the sire of Curlin.

The other main contender in Belmont probabilities is Fly Down. He is the offspring of Time For a Change. Fly Down's sire is Mineshaft by A.P. Indy. Drosselmeyer has a great pedigree with great-grandsire, Slew o' Gold and his broodmare sire is Moscow Ballet by Nijinsky II. Game on Dude is by Awesome Again from a mare by Devil his Due. Spangled Banner is from a Kris S. mare and his second dam is by Alysheba. Stately Victor will be able to make it as he is by Ghostzapper from a mare by Dynaformer. Make Music for Me doesn't possess a a huge amount of stamina influence. He is the offspring of Bernstein and Miss Cheers. Trained by Alexis Barba and jockeyed by Joel Rosario, he's had just a single win from nine starts but revealed genuine potential when he rallied from 20th to 4th place in the Derby.

Dave in Dixie, who is getting ridden by Calvin Borel and trained by John Sadler, possesses a best Beyer of 95 and a dosage index of 1.67. That equation means he may be able to manage the length of the Belmont according to his pedigree in writing. His actual performance, with only winning a single race from five starts, says otherwise.

Uptowncharlybrown's sire is Limehouse who did not have stamina but his broodmare sire Langfur did love the length and Uptowncharlybrown's great grandsire is Forty Niner. One of the longshots who has a solid pedigree for the length is Stay Put. He is by Broken Vow whose dam is by Nijinsky. As you contemplate Belmont probabilities, the problem with Stay Put is that the mount has not seemed very good in recent workouts.

As you contemplate belmont, the pedigree is crucial and the mount with the best pedigree to go a mile and a half looks to be First Dude.

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