Pattern of sugar supply and demand tensions - sugar, sugar - Food Industry

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Since the beginning of this year, the domestic sugar market in Guangxi cut sustained attention, from the projected 7.6 million tons of sugar co-Fang Jian forecast to 7.2 million tons, to the CICC research report, 800 million tons, but with the recent large-scale sugar mills in Guangxi close pressing ahead, the current market consensus on the basic cut of Guangxi, on the view of yield reduction is also in line, 760 million? 8 million tons of output range has become the industry mainstream.

Financial crisis led to a global consumer downturn, a significant slowdown of domestic economic growth conditions, the market began to worry about the sugar consumption is depressed. The first two crop season has been lagging behind the level of sales rate seems to confirm that fear. Until January of this year, sugar production and sales rate has remained below 40%, the data in the 2007/2008 crop season reached 49.14 percent, while the 2006/2007 crop season has been as high as 63.63%. This year in February, the procurement of factors at the national purchasing and storage, the domestic sugar market sales of slight improvement in a single month, it was not until March did not have the cash market prices are not out of the city of light without sales situation.

However, we should note that the sales slump is not equivalent to the terminal and stagnant consumption, 2007/2008 crop season makes the market a serious oversupply of residual sugar and a large number of new sugar Chan fight for market share. As the lack of data, we can not measure the sugar Chen sugar sales, but the hands of Chen sugar traders is not measured accurately, Chen sugar sugar sales to the new low-price pressure can only be slowly released in the new crop season. Since the beginning of this year, market speculation on the cut to the elevation of new sugar mills Sugar Georgia's opportunities, but compared to her sugar high, dealers are more willing to digest inventory, which has become the main cause of low sales of sugar, but if the end-consumer is not as bad as expected, with the depleted stock brokers, sugar Plant sales will occur gradually improved, which is probably what the next stage of Sugar City, the focus of speculation.

So, for the year, the city of terminal sugar consumption situation, we might do something in advance bold predictions.

In consumption habits do not cause major changes in the situation, the residents living there is relatively rigid sugar consumption variables mainly accounted for 65% of the total consumption of industrial consumption.

According to National Bureau of Statistics, January sugary Food Production generally declined, but February's output up pastries and beverages increased greatly improved, the highest proportion of total industrial use of sugar candy production grew 7.5%, this three-part products with higher proportion of industrial sugar end seems to indicate consumption of sugar industry is maintained steady growth.

The other hand, are " Melamine "Incident to Dairy Industry is also gradually out of the shadows, in February and liquid dairy Dairy products Production were out of the 4 quarters of 2008 a negative growth of 10.4%, respectively, and 5.6% year on year increase. Carbonated beverages And fruit juice production is still on the decline over the previous year, but more data has markedly improved in January.

Sugar from our new crop season 10? In November to begin production, the real new sale and consumption of sugar began to focus on show from December. In this regard, we can use in December sugary food production since the 2008/2009 crop season to measure the terminal sugar consumption. Historical data show that foods with sugary drinks account for 32% of the amount of sugar (including cold drinks, carbonated drinks and other kinds of sugar Drinks ), Followed by candy accounting for 25% of the five categories of food under the table sugar industry the proportion of 80%.

Calculate the different changes in sugar content of food production, the proportion of its sugar calculated as weight over the previous year, the 2008/2009 crop season increased industrial use of sugar is expected to reach 7.52%, which means the total amount of sugar consumption over the same period will reached 13.96 million tons, an increase of 4.9% year on year. Therefore, if the Association two million tons of sugar production cuts forecast is correct, the 2008/2009 crop season will produce 1.1 million tons of domestic gaps need to be filled, and this part of the gap also reflected an increase in imports and national reserves of the release area.

I think, from the end-consumer point of view, even if the economic crisis began to spread this year, but domestic production of major sugary foods will maintain modest growth over the previous year, with cash money will I run out of sugar, the crop season a few remaining sales of sugar-month rate is expected to be steady improvement in supply and demand pattern has changed in the direction of the tight.

Article Source: http://depositarticles.com/

I am a professional editor from China Suppliers, and my work is to promote a free online trade platform. www.frbiz.com/ contain a great deal of information about whole house water softeners , alkaline water ionizer welcome to visi

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