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Indirectly, the road will be wider and wider energy

By: frbiz

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As a major integrated energy engineering pioneer and founder of the Chinese Academy of Engineering Xu Shoubo witnessed China's reform and opening up 30 years in energy efficiency made great achievements, his theory of generalized energy have important guiding significance until now.
Xu Shoubo born in Shaoxing in 1931, 1956 and 1960, he was studying in the former Soviet Academy of Sciences, Energy Research Institute, the professional is a comprehensive energy engineering. His deep interest in this subject and write doctoral thesis on the development of cities in China to vigorously promote "electrification, heating, gas" of energy, while the development of hydropower. After the energy has become his life to the cause.
After returning home because of lack of energy, night power outage, heating is not warm, factories stop three open four, the government proposed to save energy. "This period of stress only the direct energy saving, such as coal saving, energy saving, fuel-efficient, waste heat utilization."
Long-planned economic system, do not attach importance to energy-saving technology and economy, so he felt very sad during the Cultural Revolution, because the Daqing oil field production and more vigorously to promote coal-fired power generation and oil change. After reform and opening up, long-term oil production 1 million tons, when Xu Shoubo to the center, should stop burning oil for power generation, thus saving a lot of oil.
12 big changes to promote energy
Xu Shoubo recalled that Deng Xiaoping in 1982, "12 large" 20 years ago made the strategic goal of quadrupling the economy to be, and the energy security of supply is a big problem, because after the founding of the PRC (1953-1978) of China's economic growth by 1% each, energy consumption would increase 1.66%, energy consumption elasticity coefficient was 1.66. This calculation, the economy doubling to tripling of energy (about 4.6 billion tons of standard coal) Caixing.
At that time, the central requirement of coal, oil, electricity and the State Planning Commission and other departments and put forward China's energy production and supply in 2000 how many, after argument, that China's 2000 production of 1.2 billion tons of standard coal only (less than 4.6 billion tons 3.4 billion tons), compared with 600 million tons in 1980, only double. This means that 20 years from 1981-2000, economic growth for every 1% increase of only 0.5% of energy consumption, energy consumption elasticity coefficient of 0.5. Home and abroad there is no such precedent. Many academics have said the economy is difficult to achieve doubling.
The central government will demonstrate the task to Xu Shoubo. Xu Shoubo said, "At that time Deng Xiaoping proposed quadrupling of drawing upon the experience of Japan, Japan has doubled in the two post-war plan was very successful." Xu Shoubo that, if you want to achieve this goal, energy saving concepts and theoretical innovation must emancipate our minds.
So he made a broad new energy-saving theory, strengthen energy rational use of energy thermal efficiency basis, with emphasis on promoting conservation of raw materials energy conservation, increase economies of scale energy conservation, improve the quality of energy saving capacity and energy saving of 9 means the indirect energy saving, to created to improve the economy of standard coal per ton of volume GDP.
"12 large, industrial and agricultural output value of China's economic assessment was also used, the biggest drawback of this evaluation method is the production of products look at how many do not consider the input, it will certainly create a lot of wasted energy and other inputs." He suggested to conduct assessment of gross domestic product can promote generalized energy.
From 1981 to 1995, China has 7.18 billion tons of coal equivalent generalized energy conservation, and more to create 5.4 trillion yuan of gross domestic product. Energy contribution to the traditional narrow sense in which only 1 / 5 more indirect energy contribution of about 4 / 5.
In 1995, the CPC Central Committee's "some security triple" target 5 years ahead of schedule to achieve. 1981-1995 also known as the history of new China Energy and Economic Development of the best.
Narrow direct energy and uneconomical
In 2002, the National Congress Party raised GDP by 2020 and strive to quadruple in 2000. However, the recent rapid growth in energy consumption 5 years, "15" period average annual growth rate of energy consumption by 11.3%, the highest growth rate after the reform and opening period. To do this, the eleventh "Five-Year Plan" proposed to GDP target of 20% reduction in energy consumption will be energy saving as a rigid target.
Xu Shoubo that the doubling in the new century economy, energy demand in half, we rely on a broad open-source, half to rely on generalized energy. He estimated that from 2001 to 2020 the average annual increase in energy consumption, 70 million tons of coal equivalent; comprehensive energy efficiency from 2000 to 2208 yuan / ton of coal equivalent in 2020 to 4,428 yuan / tonne, double; GDP can consumption decreased by half, the average saving rate of 3.54%.
"Now public opinion emphasized that energy conservation is a direct energy saving, proven, narrow direct energy saving potential is limited, and some spend a lot of investment, economic and uneconomical. The nine indirect energy on the extensive mode of economic development in China caused by the actual situation of a comprehensive waste highly relevant, the potential is huge. "Xu Shoubo said," If China back on the old road of reform and opening up a narrow energy conservation is very dangerous, and only take a new path of modern generalized energy-saving way out, this is a science and energy Boulevard. "
China's GDP energy consumption of the current high GDP energy consumption in 2005 was 1.22 million tons of standard coal in 2007 dropped to 1.06 tons of standard coal, but still the equivalent of 10,000 yuan GDP energy consumption of the United States, 2 times 4 times the EU, Japan 8 times. China's yuan GDP energy consumption of the early 80s with the 20th century, as still one of the highest in the world. Generalized energy-saving potential of China's huge, is still long way to go.

viewpoint
"Promoting energy conservation of raw materials, increase economies of scale energy conservation, improve the quality of energy saving capacity and energy saving way of indirect energy of 9, created to improve the economy of standard coal per ton of volume GDP."
"Quadruple in the new century economy, energy demand in half, we rely on wide open, half rely on generalized energy conservation."
"If China back on the old road of reform and opening up a narrow energy conservation is very dangerous, just take a new path of modern generalized energy-saving way out, this is a science and energy Boulevard."

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